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$LAYOFFS

US initial jobless claims, not seasonally adjusted, weekly

177,399claims0.9% downon the week before

Week to Oct 31Bitcoin timestamp, block 974,942

Quiet. 177,399 claims in the week to Oct 31, down 0.9% on the week before.

From May 9 to Oct 31.

Call it

All of the Arena
$LAYOFFS

US initial jobless claims

Closes00:00 UTC

week to Nov 21

177,399 to beat

Claims in the week to Oct 31.

Next print

Track record
Week to Nov 7177,399Likely
Range155,208 to 196,1238 in 10
Backtest, 88 weeks68% inside3% less error than the last number

Plum: the next range · gray: past ranges, walked forward · line: what printed

Model: the median of all models, chosen again each day. Display only, never a settled number.

How it is counted

Normal172,159 to 192,400
Highest245,434Week to Jul 11
Unusual weeks1
Counts
People filing a first claim for unemployment insurance in the week, added across the 50 states, DC, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Not seasonally adjusted. The week ends Saturday.
Source
US Department of Labor, ETA 539 weekly claims file, state rows
Terms
US government work, public domain.
Cadence
Weekly. The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. Newest complete week to Oct 31. Read Nov 7, 06:40 UTC. 2 days were revised by the source after first read; the chart shows the latest numbers.
Baseline
The prior 26 weeks, 14 needed. Claims rise every January and July; those weeks read against the weeks before them.

Quote this number

177,399 first claims for unemployment insurance were filed in the US in the week to Oct 31 2026, not seasonally adjusted, according to Tickerz.
Source: Tickerz $LAYOFFS (US initial jobless claims), from US Department of Labor, ETA 539 weekly claims file, state rows.tickerz.com/x/layoffs

List it

Free to show, licensed to settle: pricing.

$LAYOFFS (US initial jobless claims, not seasonally adjusted, weekly) prints above {strike} for the week ending Saturday 2026-11-21.

Strikes: 170,000 / 180,000 / 190,000 / 220,000 claims

Settles: on the published number (column settlement_value). Weekly. The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. A later revision never changes it.

Tie: A print equal to the strike resolves No.

Source: https://oui.doleta.gov/unemploy/claims.asp

Settlement file: https://tickerz.com/api/indices/layoffs/history.csv

Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04. Grade: reference.

Strikes from the last 30 published numbers.

PeriodWeek to Nov 21Sunday Nov 15 to Saturday Nov 21, the next week to begin.
SettlesNo fixed timeWeekly. The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. The number is recorded with the next daily proof.

Settlement fileMirrorProofSource file

Resolution

Index
$LAYOFFS US initial jobless claims. Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04.
Prints
Weekly. The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. The newest complete week is on the record after the daily proof at 12:40 UTC.
As first published

177,399 claimsfor the week ending 2026-10-31, recorded 2026-11-07 in digest c9b2577003afdf29, Bitcoin block 974,942. Proof

The number as first published is final for settlement. A revision by the source is shown beside it and never replaces it.

Fallback
The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. Until all 53 jurisdictions are in it, the week stays open. A week that never lands is void.
Precision
Whole claims, not seasonally adjusted, summed across 53 jurisdictions. The week ends Saturday. No rounding.
Cost to move
Not practical. Moving a week means filing unemployment claims with state agencies, by the thousand.
Grade
reference. A government series. A venue can read the Department of Labor file directly and settle on it. Tickerz adds the score and the record, not the number.
For a rulebook
Settle on the number Tickerz first recorded for $LAYOFFS for the week ending the Saturday named in the contract, published at tickerz.com/x/layoffs and in GET /api/indices/layoffs, timestamped daily in Bitcoin with OpenTimestamps.

Links only. Tickerz is not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket and earns nothing from these links.

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$LAYOFFS on Tickerz

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<iframe src="https://tickerz.com/embed/layoffs" title="$LAYOFFS on Tickerz" width="480" height="200" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" allow="clipboard-write"></iframe>

Every index, and the brand kit: Brand.

Arena
$LAYOFFS for the week to Nov 21. Forecast the number. Against the week to Oct 31, the newest on file: 177,399 claims. The question, the rules.
Proof
Last proof Nov 11, digest 15b6f03bfec87f1f, Bitcoin block 975,441. The proof file. On Solana: the print for 2026-10-31, Solana record.Signed numbers$LAYOFFS feedMethodology
Code
GET /api/indices/layoffsGET /api/indices/layoffs/history.csvGET /api/indices/layoffs/listing.json

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