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The score against the market.

Every receipt against its own market: Bitcoin for crypto, SPY for stocks. How to read this

Result

36 of 134 beat BTC·p < 0.01·record since Aug 31 2026

After Tickerz opens an event, the median crypto asset lags BTC by about 11.2% over the next 30 days.

Excess return by horizon

HorizonClassMeasured againstEventsMean excessMedian excessBeat benchmarkSignificance
24hcryptoBTC290+71,393.99%+0.03%148 of 290p = 0.77, not distinguishable from chance
24hequitySPY45-0.42%+0.44%25 of 45p = 0.55, not distinguishable from chance
7dcryptoBTC260+0.33%-2.04%111 of 260p = 0.022
7dequitySPY40-1.08%-0.19%19 of 40p = 0.87, not distinguishable from chance
30dcryptoBTC134-5.10%-11.21%36 of 134p < 0.01
30dequitySPY11-0.97%-3.12%5 of 11p = 1.00, not distinguishable from chance
7dcrypto, ordinary dayBTC12494·-1.26%43%the comparison
7dequity, ordinary daySPY1324·-0.62%44%the comparison