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Sandbox · 12 months of daily bars

3 assets · 14 events

Same math, same thresholds, historical inputs.

RETROSPECTIVE · COMPUTED FROM DAILY HISTORICAL DATA · DAILY BARS UNDERSTATE INTRADAY SPIKES · NOT THE LIVE RECORD. THE LIVE RECORD IS ON THE RECEIPTS PAGE.

$BTCBitcoin

PriceActivity score, 0 to 100Event opens
70 · an event opensFEB 6JUN 3$109,675$84,668OCTDECFEBAPRJUNAUG
Events in 12 months4
Median +7d5.5% up
Median +30d7.3% up

Last 3 of 4 events

  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $BTC

    24h
    0.5% down
    Opened
    Sep 22, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $86,597
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    89 / 100
    24 hours
    -0.5%
    7 days
    Pending
    30 days
    Pending
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $BTC

    24h
    5.4% up
    Opened
    Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $69,291
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    98 / 100
    24 hours
    +5.4%
    7 days
    +14.0%
    30 days
    +16.7%
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $BTC

    24h
    4.0% down
    Opened
    Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $66,727
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    89 / 100
    24 hours
    -4.0%
    7 days
    -7.6%
    30 days
    -7.8%

$SOLSolana

PriceActivity score, 0 to 100Event opens
70 · an event opensFEB 1JUN 6$203.56$123.00OCTDECFEBAPRJUNAUG
Events in 12 months4
Median +7d2.6% up
Median +30d17.4% up

Last 3 of 4 events

  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $SOL

    24h
    2.7% up
    Opened
    Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $85.33
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    100 / 100
    24 hours
    +2.7%
    7 days
    +19.6%
    30 days
    +32.1%
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $SOL

    24h
    2.3% down
    Opened
    Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $63.63
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    91 / 100
    24 hours
    -2.3%
    7 days
    +4.9%
    30 days
    +28.1%
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $SOL

    24h
    10.9% up
    Opened
    Feb 6, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $78.40
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    80 / 100
    24 hours
    +10.9%
    7 days
    +0.3%
    30 days
    +6.7%

$WIFdogwifhat

PriceActivity score, 0 to 100Event opens
70 · an event opensJAN 5APR 17JUN 28$0.7366$0.2453OCTDECFEBAPRJUNAUG
Events in 12 months6
Median +7d2.5% down
Median +30d11.2% down

Last 3 of 6 events

  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $WIF

    24h
    4.0% up
    Opened
    Sep 22, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $0.2451
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    100 / 100
    24 hours
    +4.0%
    7 days
    Pending
    30 days
    Pending
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $WIF

    24h
    21.3% up
    Opened
    Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $0.1643
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    100 / 100
    24 hours
    +21.3%
    7 days
    +32.3%
    30 days
    +28.5%
  • RETROSPECTIVE · not live

    $WIF

    24h
    3.9% up
    Opened
    Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
    Price at open
    $0.1661
    Record and verification
    Peak activity score
    74 / 100
    24 hours
    +3.9%
    7 days
    +5.6%
    30 days
    -11.2%

The mechanism is inspectable on historical inputs. The activity score measures attention, not merit. The receipts say what happened next either way. The one pattern that holds is in Attention fades: a crypto upside spike while under 3% of coins are unusual lagged Bitcoin by a median of about 5% over 7 days.