{"generated_at":"2026-11-12T09:15:50.424Z","rules":{"points":"100 times max(0, 1 minus absolute percent error divided by 25%), rounded. Graded on the number as first published.","ranked_from":3,"arena_number":"Points-weighted mean of the top 10 ranked handles that answered, frozen at close. Labeled Arena, not official.","submit":"POST /api/arena/forecast or the MCP tool submit_forecast."},"open":[{"id":"layoffs-2026-11-21","ticker":"LAYOFFS","slug":"layoffs","name":"US initial jobless claims","statement":"$LAYOFFS for the week to Nov 21. Forecast the number.","unit":"claims","format":"count","step":7,"period":"2026-11-21","ref_period":"2026-10-31","ref_value":177399,"opens_at":"2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-15T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/layoffs-2026-11-21"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-13","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 13. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-13","ref_period":"2026-11-11","ref_value":2077171,"opens_at":"2026-11-12T02:40:30.359Z","closes_at":"2026-11-13T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-13"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-13","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 13. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-13","ref_period":"2026-11-11","ref_value":42590,"opens_at":"2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-13T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-13"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-13","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 13. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-13","ref_period":"2026-11-11","ref_value":97640,"opens_at":"2026-11-12T04:12:29.464Z","closes_at":"2026-11-13T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-13"},{"id":"wage-2026-11-13","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Nov 13. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-13","ref_period":"2026-11-11","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-11-12T04:12:29.464Z","closes_at":"2026-11-13T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-11-13"}],"recent":[{"id":"mints-2026-11-12","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 12. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-12","ref_period":"2026-11-10","ref_value":40836,"opens_at":"2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-12"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-12","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 12. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-12","ref_period":"2026-11-10","ref_value":1989588,"opens_at":"2026-11-11T03:40:30.495Z","closes_at":"2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-12"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-11","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 11. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-11","ref_period":"2026-11-09","ref_value":37155,"opens_at":"2026-11-10T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-11"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-11","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 11. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-11","ref_period":"2026-11-09","ref_value":2591909,"opens_at":"2026-11-10T02:40:30.212Z","closes_at":"2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-11"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-10","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 10. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-10","ref_period":"2026-11-08","ref_value":36223,"opens_at":"2026-11-09T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-10T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":40836,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-10"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-10","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 10. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-10","ref_period":"2026-11-08","ref_value":2208773,"opens_at":"2026-11-09T02:40:30.248Z","closes_at":"2026-11-10T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":1989588,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-10"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-09","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 9. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-09","ref_period":"2026-11-07","ref_value":39829,"opens_at":"2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-09T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":37155,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-09"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-09","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 9. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-09","ref_period":"2026-11-07","ref_value":2327140,"opens_at":"2026-11-08T06:40:30.237Z","closes_at":"2026-11-09T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2589153,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-09"},{"id":"layoffs-2026-11-14","ticker":"LAYOFFS","slug":"layoffs","name":"US initial jobless claims","statement":"$LAYOFFS for the week to Nov 14. Forecast the number.","unit":"claims","format":"count","step":7,"period":"2026-11-14","ref_period":"2026-10-24","ref_value":178986,"opens_at":"2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/layoffs-2026-11-14"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-08","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-08","ref_period":"2026-11-06","ref_value":46838,"opens_at":"2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":36223,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-08"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-08","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-08","ref_period":"2026-11-06","ref_value":2268052,"opens_at":"2026-11-07T02:40:30.238Z","closes_at":"2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2208778,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-08"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-07","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-07","ref_period":"2026-11-05","ref_value":43204,"opens_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":39829,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-07"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-07","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-07","ref_period":"2026-11-05","ref_value":2137702,"opens_at":"2026-11-06T02:40:31.061Z","closes_at":"2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2327140,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-07"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-06","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-06","ref_period":"2026-11-04","ref_value":230624,"opens_at":"2026-11-05T00:11:18.218Z","closes_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-06"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-06","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-06","ref_period":"2026-11-04","ref_value":49264,"opens_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":46838,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-06"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-06","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-06","ref_period":"2026-11-04","ref_value":2621388,"opens_at":"2026-11-05T02:40:30.223Z","closes_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2268523,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-06"},{"id":"wage-2026-11-06","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Nov 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-06","ref_period":"2026-11-04","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-11-05T00:11:18.218Z","closes_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-11-06"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-05","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-05","ref_period":"2026-11-03","ref_value":330286,"opens_at":"2026-11-04T00:11:34.253Z","closes_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-05"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-05","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-05","ref_period":"2026-11-03","ref_value":44867,"opens_at":"2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":43204,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-05"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-05","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-05","ref_period":"2026-11-03","ref_value":2585434,"opens_at":"2026-11-04T02:40:30.426Z","closes_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2141118,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-05"},{"id":"wage-2026-11-05","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Nov 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-05","ref_period":"2026-11-03","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-11-04T00:11:34.253Z","closes_at":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-11-05"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-04","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-04","ref_period":"2026-11-02","ref_value":182452,"opens_at":"2026-11-03T00:11:36.252Z","closes_at":"2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":230624,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-04"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-04","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-04","ref_period":"2026-11-02","ref_value":42120,"opens_at":"2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":49264,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-04"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-04","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-04","ref_period":"2026-11-02","ref_value":2726946,"opens_at":"2026-11-03T02:40:30.299Z","closes_at":"2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2622483,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-04"},{"id":"wage-2026-11-04","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Nov 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-04","ref_period":"2026-11-02","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-11-03T00:11:36.252Z","closes_at":"2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":0.01,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-11-04"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-03","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-03","ref_period":"2026-11-01","ref_value":272207,"opens_at":"2026-11-02T00:12:43.308Z","closes_at":"2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":330286,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-03"},{"id":"mints-2026-11-03","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Nov 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-03","ref_period":"2026-11-01","ref_value":37100,"opens_at":"2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":44867,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-11-03"},{"id":"trenches-2026-11-03","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Nov 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-03","ref_period":"2026-11-01","ref_value":2103310,"opens_at":"2026-11-02T01:40:30.249Z","closes_at":"2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":2577210,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-11-03"},{"id":"wage-2026-11-03","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Nov 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-11-03","ref_period":"2026-11-01","ref_value":0.007,"opens_at":"2026-11-02T00:12:43.308Z","closes_at":"2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":0.01,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-11-03"},{"id":"gigs-2026-11-02","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Nov 2. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-11-02","ref_period":"2026-10-31","ref_value":122034,"opens_at":"2026-11-01T00:11:12.837Z","closes_at":"2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":182452,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-11-02"}],"standings":[{"handle":"dopetick","graded":8,"mean_points":57.5,"total_points":460,"best_streak":6,"ranked":true},{"handle":"merlin","graded":2,"mean_points":27.5,"total_points":55,"best_streak":1,"ranked":false},{"handle":"dopehbu","graded":1,"mean_points":20,"total_points":20,"best_streak":1,"ranked":false}]}